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How many copies did The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$44k–$119k after Steam's cut $80k–$183k before Steam's cut
from 234 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 451k–1.1M
best case 1.5M (Your Only Move Is HUSTLE)
Games like The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn

A typical game among these

≈ 451k–1.1M copies

≈ $4.0M–$7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Your Only Move Is HUSTLE at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 483 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Battle of Polytopia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149k–242k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$615k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based
Turmoil
2016
Est. copies
≈ 673k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut
$12.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementMining
Your Only Move Is HUSTLE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
46k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D FighterTurn-Based Strategy
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV
2020
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
16k reviews
Mixed
Super Robot Wars 30
2021
Est. copies
≈ 162k–263k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing

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