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How many copies did Reficul VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 851–1k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Reficul VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reficul VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.8M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Reficul VR

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.8M copies

≈ $15.2M–$66.6M after Steam's cut

from ~62k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 49k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Pavlov
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Sci-Fantasy Defence
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$19.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Vaccine Rebirth VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$68–$183 after Steam's cut $123–$281 before Steam's cut
$1.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
Battle Talent
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$174k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$721k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRSwordplay

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