How much revenue did ERSATZ make?

$377–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ERSATZ sell?

Q: How many copies did ERSATZ sell?

688 to 1k copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 688–1k; $377–$1k after Steam's cut $685–$2k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ERSATZ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ERSATZ's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 174k–331k

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like ERSATZ

A typical game among these

≈ 174k–331k copies

≈ $473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Level Editor + Precision Platformer + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 198x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Neon Beats 2019	Est. copies ≈ 189k–308k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayRhythm
Electronic Super Joy 2013	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $455k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $827k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerIndie
140 2013	Est. copies ≈ 297k–483k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $741k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerIndie
Hi-Fi RUSH 2023	Est. copies ≈ 893k–1.5M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmAction
Beatbuddy: Tale of the Guardians 2013	Est. copies ≈ 75k–122k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$854k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	IndieMusic
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien 2013	Est. copies ≈ 195k–316k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rhythm Platformer
Hextech Mayhem: A League of Legends Story™ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 58k–95k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $160k–$430k after Steam's cut $291k–$661k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	MusicRhythm