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How many copies did Beatbuddy: Tale of the Guardians sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 75k–122k
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$854k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beatbuddy: Tale of the Guardians and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beatbuddy: Tale of the Guardians's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.0M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Beatbuddy: Tale of the Guardians

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–3.0M copies

≈ $6.3M–$15.9M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Level Editor + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Super Hexagon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$5.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
DJMAX RESPECT V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 867k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Just Shapes & Beats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 795k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmGreat Soundtrack

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