How much revenue did Draugen make?

$340k–$915k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Draugen sell?

Q: How many copies did Draugen sell?

62k to 101k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 62k–101k; $340k–$915k after Steam's cut $619k–$1.4M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Draugen and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Draugen's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.4M

best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)

Games like Draugen

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.4M copies

≈ $9.3M–$16.8M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Mystery (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Mystery, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Adventure + Walking Simulator; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
Return of the Obra Dinn 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveMystery
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	100k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Bendy and the Ink Machine 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
The Room 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleMystery
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical
Mouthwashing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$12.99	0 reviews No user reviews	Psychological Horror Story Rich