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How many copies did Warhammer: Chaosbane sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 187k–304k
$1.5M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer: Chaosbane and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer: Chaosbane's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.5M–12.4M
best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Warhammer: Chaosbane

A typical game among these

≈ 6.5M–12.4M copies

≈ $116.3M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 145k reviews in their first month; the range was 36k to 558k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (3 of 8) and Character Customization (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

New World: Aeternum
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≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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250k reviews
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Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Lost Ark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
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MMORPGFree to Play
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
Valheim
2026
Est. copies
≈ 13.9M–22.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
562k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer

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