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How many copies did Unending Dusk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 68 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Unending Dusk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Unending Dusk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–25.4M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Unending Dusk

A typical game among these

≈ 7.2M–25.4M copies

≈ $67.7M–$97.5M after Steam's cut

from ~238k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 115k reviews in their first month; the range was 42k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (6 of 8) and Hack and Slash (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grim Dawn
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.5M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Lost Ark
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGFree to Play
Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG

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