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How many copies did Verlet Swing sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–35k
$89k–$240k after Steam's cut $162k–$370k before Steam's cut
from 713 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Verlet Swing and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Verlet Swing's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–52k
best case 167k (SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell)
Games like Verlet Swing

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–52k copies

≈ $10k–$530k after Steam's cut

from ~230 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell at ≈ 127k–207k copies, ≈ $525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 73 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 142.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Fast-Paced (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Parkour, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hell of an Office
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$14.99
184 reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonAction
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell
2016
Est. copies
≈ 127k–207k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerParkour
Celaria
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$5.99
143 reviews
Very Positive
Marble It Up! Ultra
2018
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$286k–$768k after Steam's cut $519k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFast-Paced
Cloudbuilt
2014
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$292k–$786k after Steam's cut $532k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
950 reviews
Very Positive
ParkourAction
Rocket Boots Mania
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$117k before Steam's cut
$14.99
276 reviews
Very Positive
SportsParkour
Kebab it Up!
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$875–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$2.99
35 reviews
Positive
ActionDifficult
Wallsurf
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut
$1.99
16 reviews
Positive
Racing3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.