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How many copies did Jolly Battle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Jolly Battle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Jolly Battle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 261k–794k
best case 1.4M (RISK: Global Domination)
Games like Jolly Battle

A typical game among these

≈ 261k–794k copies

≈ $1.3M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RISK: Global Domination at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 835 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Turn-Based Strategy.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stolen Realm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$541k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $983k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsParty-Based RPG
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Talisman: Digital Classic Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 561k–912k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameTabletop
Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic)
2017
Est. copies
≈ 316k–513k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyMultiplayer
RISK: Global Domination
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Axis & Allies 1942 Online
2021
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$698k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
WargameBoard Game
Ticket to Ride: Classic Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 346k–561k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameStrategy

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