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How many copies did Kaze and the Wild Masks sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 51k–84k
$141k–$380k after Steam's cut $257k–$584k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kaze and the Wild Masks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kaze and the Wild Masks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.3M
best case 1.9M (The Henry Stickmin Collection)
Games like Kaze and the Wild Masks

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.3M copies

≈ $4.4M–$10.2M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Henry Stickmin Collection at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 26k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (3 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Multiple Endings + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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HorrorIndie
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya
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≈ 815k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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21k reviews
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Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
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$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
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1 reviews
1 user reviews
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Shovel Knight: Treasure Trove
2014
Est. copies
≈ 948k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Loop Hero
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Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
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$14.99
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TacticalRogue-like

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