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How many copies did Yakuza Kiwami (Legacy) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 672k–1.1M
from 23k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Yakuza Kiwami (Legacy) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Yakuza Kiwami (Legacy)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20.7M–26.4M
best case 32.0M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like Yakuza Kiwami (Legacy)

A typical game among these

≈ 20.7M–26.4M copies

≈ $203.6M–$282.6M after Steam's cut

from ~375k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.4M–39.6M copies, ≈ $402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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