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How many copies did Melting World Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
from 78 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melting World Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melting World Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 285k–981k
best case 1.3M (BATTLETECH)
Games like Melting World Online

A typical game among these

≈ 285k–981k copies

≈ $4.8M–$8.4M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BATTLETECH at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mechs (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mechs + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $40.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 330k–537k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Est. copies
≈ 161k–261k
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$882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
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Colony SimCrafting
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Base-BuildingTower Defense
Super Robot Wars 30
2021
Est. copies
≈ 162k–263k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
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StrategyRPG
BATTLETECH
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$46.0M before Steam's cut
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33k reviews
Very Positive
MechsStrategy
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
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StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
War Robots
2018
Est. copies
≈ 943k–1.5M
1.9x vs typical
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31k reviews
Mixed
RobotsMechs
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 236k–384k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
MechsTactical RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.