How much revenue did Synth Ninja make?

$115–$309 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Synth Ninja sell?

Q: How many copies did Synth Ninja sell?

422 to 685 copies, based on its 17 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 422–685; $115–$309 after Steam's cut $209–$475 before Steam's cut; from 17 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Synth Ninja and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Synth Ninja's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k

best case 5k (Tempo)

Games like Synth Ninja

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~47 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tempo at ≈ 4k–7k copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 79.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Arcade.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rain Runner 2024	Est. copies ≈ 942–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$4.99	38 reviews Positive	ActionCasual
Worm Runner 2022	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$4.99	32 reviews Mixed	CasualArcade
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm
Fermi's Path 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut	$8.99	53 reviews Mixed	IndieArcade
Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$44k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut	$34.99	68 reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Abstract Driver 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$9.99	41 reviews Mixed	CasualAdventure
Tempo 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	164 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionCasual
The Legend of Gwen 2023	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$9.99	21 reviews Positive	ActionCasual