How much revenue did Gaia make?

$13k–$34k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gaia sell?

Q: How many copies did Gaia sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 92 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut; from 92 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gaia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gaia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–4.4M

best case 18.3M (Valheim)

Games like Gaia

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–4.4M copies

≈ $44.6M–$54.7M after Steam's cut

from ~109k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 256k reviews in their first month; the range was 40k to 558k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Base-Building (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World, priced around $30.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
ASTRONEER 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	139k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOpen World
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Satisfactory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
Subnautica: Below Zero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.7M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	109k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Valheim 2026	Est. copies ≈ 13.9M–22.6M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	562k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Grounded 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.2M–$70.4M after Steam's cut $47.6M–$108.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer