How much revenue did RAGE make?

$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did RAGE sell?

Q: How many copies did RAGE sell?

1.2M to 1.9M copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–1.9M; $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RAGE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RAGE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–9.4M

best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)

Games like RAGE

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–9.4M copies

≈ $56.4M–$95.3M after Steam's cut

from ~139k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 88k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Post-apocalyptic (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Fallout 76 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.3M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	141k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldMultiplayer
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut $105.1M–$239.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldFPS
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	97k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldLooter Shooter
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Shadow of Chernobyl 2007	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.7M–$45.0M after Steam's cut $30.4M–$69.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	48k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPost-apocalyptic
Just Survive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Mixed	ZombiesSurvival