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How many copies did Air Combat XF sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 942–2k
$256–$690 after Steam's cut $466–$1k before Steam's cut
from 31 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Air Combat XF and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Air Combat XF's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 224k–351k
best case 2.2M (ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN)
Games like Air Combat XF

A typical game among these

≈ 224k–351k copies

≈ $1.3M–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN at ≈ 1.6M–2.7M copies, ≈ $27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Flight (8 of 8) and Military (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Flight + War, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry War + Jet; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bomber Crew
2017
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
World War IISimulation
Heliborne Collection
2017
Est. copies
≈ 139k–225k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
MilitaryFlight
Ace Combat Assault Horizon - Enhanced Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 332k–539k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
ActionFlight
Project Wingman
2020
Est. copies
≈ 556k–904k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
FlightAction
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946
2008
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
DCS World Steam Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFlight
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.