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How many copies did Airborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Airborn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Airborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 453k–3.3M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Airborn

A typical game among these

≈ 453k–3.3M copies

≈ $3.5M–$31.3M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS™: Squadrons
2020
Est. copies
≈ 699k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
28k reviews
Mixed
FlightSpace
Hardspace: Shipbreaker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSci-fi
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
Redout: Enhanced Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 194k–316k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingFlight
Megaton Rainfall
2017
Est. copies
≈ 79k–129k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$350k–$940k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$15.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SuperheroDestruction
Elite Dangerous
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.5M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Mostly Positive
Space SimSpace
EVERSPACE™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 395k–642k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceAction Roguelike

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