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How many copies did Crumble sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–45k
$113k–$304k after Steam's cut $206k–$468k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crumble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Crumble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–3.1M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Crumble

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–3.1M copies

≈ $6.0M–$20.2M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Psychonauts
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerComedy
Refunct
2015
Est. copies
≈ 852k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$2.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
A Story About My Uncle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.2M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$27.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFirst-Person
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Clustertruck
2016
Est. copies
≈ 773k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ParkourAutomobile Sim
Neon White
2022
Est. copies
≈ 518k–842k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPS3D Platformer
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer

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