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How big is Scribble It!?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 199k–324k
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scribble It! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scribble It!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26.4M–42.4M
best case 103.9M (Team Fortress 2)
Games like Scribble It!

A typical game among these

≈ 26.4M–42.4M copies

≈ $73.2M–$87.0M after Steam's cut

from ~698k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Battle Royale (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Team Fortress 2 at ≈ 79.1M–128.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hero Shooter + FPS.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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MultiplayerParty Game
Bloons TD 6
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≈ 12.0M–19.6M
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Tower DefenseStrategy
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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1.3M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
Apex Legends™
2020
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≈ 26.6M–43.2M
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Free to PlayBattle Royale
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
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MatureUtilities
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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DifficultMusic
Among Us
2018
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≈ 22.8M–37.0M
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Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.