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How many copies did Giraffe and Annika sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut
from 357 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Giraffe and Annika and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Giraffe and Annika's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 137k–1.0M
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like Giraffe and Annika

A typical game among these

≈ 137k–1.0M copies

≈ $820k–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 780 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Female Protagonist (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Melody's Escape
2016
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
KAMITSUBAKI CITY ENSEMBLE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
$3.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureMusic
Space Channel 5: Part 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 590k–959k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut
$39.39
24k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAnime
Sayonara Wild Hearts
2019
Est. copies
≈ 257k–418k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$920k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackRhythm
Touhou Danmaku Kagura Phantasia Lost
2024
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$341k–$916k after Steam's cut $619k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
MusicAction
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.