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How many copies did HEDE Game Engine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HEDE Game Engine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HEDE Game Engine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 218k–306k
best case 314k (The Farmer Was Replaced)
Games like HEDE Game Engine

A typical game among these

≈ 218k–306k copies

≈ $962k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Farmer Was Replaced at ≈ 239k–389k copies, ≈ $658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 252 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Programming (8 of 8) and Education (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Programming + Automation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SHENZHEN I/O
2016
Est. copies
≈ 189k–306k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
while True: learn()
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–386k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingSimulation
Turing Complete
2021
Est. copies
≈ 144k–233k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingLogic
7 Billion Humans
2018
Est. copies
≈ 65k–106k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$269k–$722k after Steam's cut $488k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
TIS-100
2015
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$6.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
The Farmer Was Replaced
2025
Est. copies
≈ 239k–389k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
Human Resource Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 230k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
HackeRPG
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$306–$824 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Early AccessProgramming

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