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How many copies did UNMEMORY sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UNMEMORY and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UNMEMORY's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–5.8M
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like UNMEMORY

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–5.8M copies

≈ $39.4M–$42.2M after Steam's cut

from ~104k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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ExplorationSpace
Everlasting Summer
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Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
Life is Strange - Episode 1
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≈ 8.6M–14.0M
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Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric

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