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How many copies did Comet 64 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
from 189 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Comet 64 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Comet 64's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 256k–320k
best case 1.7M (Hacknet)
Games like Comet 64

A typical game among these

≈ 256k–320k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hacknet at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Programming (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hacking + Simulation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Typing + Story Rich + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

while True: learn()
2019
Est. copies
≈ 237k–386k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingSimulation
Opus Magnum
2017
Est. copies
≈ 250k–407k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleProgramming
Human Resource Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 230k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
SpaceChem
2011
Est. copies
≈ 322k–523k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$884k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleDifficult
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
SHENZHEN I/O
2016
Est. copies
≈ 189k–306k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingAutomation
Turing Complete
2021
Est. copies
≈ 144k–233k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingLogic
TIS-100
2015
Est. copies
≈ 201k–326k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$6.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle

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