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How many copies did Lantern Light VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lantern Light VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lantern Light VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98k–227k
best case 1.2M (Mountain)
Games like Lantern Light VR

A typical game among these

≈ 98k–227k copies

≈ $563k–$965k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mountain at ≈ 912k–1.5M copies, ≈ $248k–$668k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + God Game, priced around $1.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Doodle God
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$313k–$841k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieCasual
We. The Revolution
2019
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$394k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $716k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
HistoricalChoices Matter
Human Resource Machine
2015
Est. copies
≈ 230k–373k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
Uplink
2006
Est. copies
≈ 154k–251k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $924k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HackingIndie
Cloud Gardens
2021
Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
NatureSandbox
Moncage
2021
Est. copies
≈ 138k–224k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$568k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Fly Corp
2023
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
TransportationCasual
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie

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