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wishvane

How many copies did BLACKTAIL sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 67k–109k
$555k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BLACKTAIL out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BLACKTAIL's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–39k
best case 70k (The Pathless)
The Action RPG genre

3 of your 8 similar games are hits. A niche genre: plan for a small audience.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 4k–39k copies
≈ $29k–$428k after Steam's cut
from ~273 reviews
Best case
≈ 53k–87k copies
The Pathless · ≈ $588k–$1.6M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
The launch
The games that made it here had roughly 1 to 889 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Archery + Exploration, priced around $40.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before the cut
$13.99
163 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureExploration
Budget Cuts Ultimate
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before the cut
$19.99
110 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
The Vale: Shadow of the Crown
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before the cut
$19.99
383 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction-Adventure
DragonRoad
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
$19.98
120 reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaExploration
Karnage Chronicles
2020
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$249k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before the cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRHack and Slash
Winter Ember
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before the cut
$29.99
113 reviews
Mixed
ActionAction RPG
The Pathless
2021
Est. copies
≈ 53k–87k
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$588k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureArchery
Grimlord
2024
Est. copies
≈ 27k–45k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$227k–$609k after Steam's cut $412k–$937k before the cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.