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How many copies did Ikonei Island: An Earthlock Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$242k before Steam's cut
from 476 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ikonei Island: An Earthlock Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ikonei Island: An Earthlock Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 227k–468k
best case 980k (Moonlighter)
Games like Ikonei Island: An Earthlock Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 227k–468k copies

≈ $1.2M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Moonlighter at ≈ 747k–1.2M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hack and Slash + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Moonlighter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 747k–1.2M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Little Witch in the Woods
2025
Est. copies
≈ 327k–532k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCute
Endless Sky
2015
Est. copies
≈ 347k–564k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceFree to Play
ZERO Sievert
2024
Est. copies
≈ 387k–628k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Extraction ShooterSurvival
Reassembly
2015
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSpace
Necrosmith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction Roguelike
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSandbox
Keplerth
2022
Est. copies
≈ 103k–168k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$426k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $774k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration

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