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How many copies did Toree 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toree 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toree 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 284k–3.4M
best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)
Games like Toree 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 284k–3.4M copies

≈ $2.0M–$24.8M after Steam's cut

from ~42k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 358 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (4 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
$1.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
Hot Lava
2019
Est. copies
≈ 178k–289k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$977k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
In Sound Mind
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174k–283k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive

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