How much revenue did PixPhys make?

$6k–$16k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did PixPhys sell?

Q: How many copies did PixPhys sell?

5k to 9k copies, based on its 218 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–9k; $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut; from 218 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PixPhys and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PixPhys's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 481k–1.6M

best case 12.1M (People Playground)

Games like PixPhys

A typical game among these

≈ 481k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.7M–$11.7M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (5 of 8) and Moddable (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Paint the Town Red 2021	Est. copies ≈ 810k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	GoreBlood
Cosmoteer: Starship Architect & Commander 2022	Est. copies ≈ 320k–521k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Sci-fiSingleplayer
Airships: Conquer the Skies 2018	Est. copies ≈ 201k–327k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Vehicular Combat4X
Cortex Command 2012	Est. copies ≈ 381k–620k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyIndie
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Forts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingMultiplayer