How much revenue did 虫鸣 make?

$5k–$13k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 虫鸣 sell?

Q: How many copies did 虫鸣 sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 120 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut; from 120 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 虫鸣 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 虫鸣's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–4.8M

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like 虫鸣

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–4.8M copies

≈ $3.7M–$23.2M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	143k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Pacify 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$4.99	43k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Demonologist 2023	Est. copies ≈ 602k–978k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	24k reviews Very Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Alan Wake 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut $28.5M–$64.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	60k reviews Very Positive	ActionHorror
Oxenfree 2016	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Mouthwashing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$12.99	0 reviews No user reviews	Psychological Horror Story Rich