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How many copies did Tentacle Prawn: (Actually) A Cthulhu Dating Sim sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tentacle Prawn: (Actually) A Cthulhu Dating Sim and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tentacle Prawn: (Actually) A Cthulhu Dating Sim's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114k–725k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like Tentacle Prawn: (Actually) A Cthulhu Dating Sim

A typical game among these

≈ 114k–725k copies

≈ $837k–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 856k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 152 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (3 of 8) and Lovecraftian (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cultist Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 433k–704k
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Shadows Over Loathing
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–134k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $951k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$22.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureRPG
Death Trash
2021
Est. copies
≈ 92k–150k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $924k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPost-apocalyptic
SKALD: Against the Black Priory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $680k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
9.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Archaelund
2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$72k–$194k after Steam's cut $131k–$299k before Steam's cut
$24.99
424 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Stygian: Reign of the Old Ones
2019
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
RPGIndie
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.