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How many copies did Trials of Proelium sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$819–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trials of Proelium and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trials of Proelium's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–368k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Trials of Proelium

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–368k copies

≈ $125k–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 445 reviews in their first month; the range was 123 to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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