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How many copies did EVOTINCTION sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$47k–$127k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before Steam's cut
from 231 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid EVOTINCTION and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EVOTINCTION's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–6.3M
best case 4.2M (Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition)
Games like EVOTINCTION

A typical game among these

≈ 2.4M–6.3M copies

≈ $31.6M–$43.0M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Female Protagonist.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
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Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
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StealthOpen World
Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
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≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Post-apocalypticFPS
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
55k reviews
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Sci-fiImmersive Sim
Dishonored
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.3M after Steam's cut $27.9M–$63.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthFirst-Person
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAdventure
Wolfenstein II: The New Colossus
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.5M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.7M before Steam's cut
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FPSAction
DEATH STRANDING DIRECTOR'S CUT
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.6M after Steam's cut $34.2M–$77.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichOpen World
Assassin's Creed 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.5M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
62k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

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