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How many copies did A Twisted Tale sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
from 72 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Twisted Tale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Twisted Tale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 153k–368k
best case 431k (Hidden Folks)
Games like A Twisted Tale

A typical game among these

≈ 153k–368k copies

≈ $437k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hidden Folks at ≈ 329k–534k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 474 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 699.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hand-drawn (8 of 8) and Point & Click (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hidden Object + Hand-drawn, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Samorost 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickHand-drawn
Milo and the Magpies
2021
Est. copies
≈ 85k–139k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 181k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
Old Man's Journey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
looK INside - Chapter 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$6.99
110 reviews
Mostly Positive
Point & ClickNarration
Hidden Folks
2017
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
Insomnia: Theater in the Head
2022
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$215k before Steam's cut
$2.49
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalPoint & Click

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