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How many copies did Luckitown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
from 267 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Luckitown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Luckitown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 950k–1.4M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Luckitown

A typical game among these

≈ 950k–1.4M copies

≈ $9.3M–$9.8M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 86k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Base-Building, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Survival + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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StrategyVillain Protagonist
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2024
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≈ 9.9M–16.2M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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SurvivalZombies
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Base-BuildingTower Defense
Factorio
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≈ 5.9M–9.5M
11x vs typical
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AutomationBase-Building
Stronghold Crusader HD (2012)
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Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.