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How many copies did Outer Darkness sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outer Darkness and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outer Darkness's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 217k–362k
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Outer Darkness

A typical game among these

≈ 217k–362k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Replay Value + Pixel Graphics + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Curse of the Dead Gods
2021
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeIsometric
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
78x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
PANICORE
2024
Est. copies
≈ 323k–524k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$886k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
10 Minutes Till Dawn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
NECROPOLIS: BRUTAL EDITION
2016
Est. copies
≈ 194k–315k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeAction Roguelike
Monstrum
2015
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$912k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Mortal Sin
2025
Est. copies
≈ 146k–237k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonAction Roguelike

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