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How big is Argentum Online?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 21k–34k
from 843 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Argentum Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Argentum Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.7M–23.0M
best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)
Games like Argentum Online

A typical game among these

≈ 9.7M–23.0M copies

≈ $77.0M–$292.7M after Steam's cut

from ~297k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 36 to 145k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
New World: Aeternum
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
297k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
Mortal Online 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
14k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGSandbox
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG
AdventureQuest 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGExploration
The Wagadu Chronicles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessMMORPG

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