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How many copies did Fargone sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$203k before Steam's cut
from 601 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fargone and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fargone's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25k–1.8M
best case 25.5M (Unturned)
Games like Fargone

A typical game among these

≈ 25k–1.8M copies

≈ $119k–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Unturned at ≈ 19.4M–31.6M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 609 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
129x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Dysterra
2025
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
773 reviews
Mixed
SingleplayerPvE
XERA: Survival
2021
Est. copies
≈ 197k–320k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
Base-BuildingOpen World Survival Craft
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 464k–755k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDriving
Tom Clancy’s The Division™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
97k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldLooter Shooter
KeepUp Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 19k–30k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut
$14.99
753 reviews
Mixed
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
Anarchy: Wolf's law
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–33k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $102k–$231k before Steam's cut
$9.99
821 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalRealistic
Urge
2021
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut
$17.99
524 reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftAtmospheric

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.