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How many copies did Spellshot sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 81 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Spellshot and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Spellshot's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–47k
best case 175k (Necrosmith)
Games like Spellshot

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–47k copies

≈ $12k–$131k after Steam's cut

from ~125 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Necrosmith at ≈ 133k–216k copies, ≈ $109k–$294k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 54 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (7 of 8) and Deckbuilding (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Action Roguelike, priced around $3.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deliverance & Reign
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$7.99
144 reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Necroking
2024
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
7.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before Steam's cut
$4.99
960 reviews
Very Positive
Demonlore
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut
$19.99
102 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRogue-lite
Necrosmith
2022
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
43x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesAction Roguelike
元卡牌2 - MetaCard2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$6.99
49 reviews
Positive
DeckbuildingStrategy
Knock on the Coffin Lid
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$496k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FantasyDark Fantasy
HordeCore: Training Ground
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Xmas Apocalypse
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$6.99
105 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeShooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.