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How many copies did Tales of Seikyu sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 66k–107k
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $822k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales of Seikyu and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales of Seikyu's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 702k–4.2M
best case 10.8M (Monster Hunter Wilds)
Games like Tales of Seikyu

A typical game among these

≈ 702k–4.2M copies

≈ $1.1M–$22.7M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Monster Hunter Wilds at ≈ 8.2M–13.4M copies, ≈ $90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 951 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 183k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Romance (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hunting + Co-op, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Monster Hunter Wilds
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.4M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut $164.6M–$374.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
332k reviews
Mixed
HuntingAction
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Rune Factory 4 Special
2021
Est. copies
≈ 59k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$484k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $880k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Rune Factory 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$581k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
I Fell In Love With A Fantasy Farmer
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$239–$640 after Steam's cut $434–$985 before Steam's cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Point & ClickNudity

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