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How many copies did Alex Jones: NWO Wars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–74k
$221k–$594k after Steam's cut $402k–$914k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alex Jones: NWO Wars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alex Jones: NWO Wars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–7.7M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Alex Jones: NWO Wars

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–7.7M copies

≈ $18.9M–$32.7M after Steam's cut

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and Gore (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Combat + World War II; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hotline Miami
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackViolent
World of Tanks Blitz
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore
World of Tanks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

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