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How many copies did Venator Universe sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 719–1k
$987–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 29 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Venator Universe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Venator Universe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.9M
best case 7.3M (The Elder Scrolls® Online)
Games like Venator Universe

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.9M copies

≈ $29.2M–$42.2M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls® Online at ≈ 5.6M–9.0M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (7 of 8) and Fantasy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Open World, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Singleplayer + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
Bless Unleashed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
31k reviews
Mixed
RPGMMORPG
Neverwinter
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 613k–995k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCharacter Customization
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
The Elder Scrolls® Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG
Tree of Savior (English Ver.)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGAnime

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