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How many copies did Hearts of Iron III sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 316k–513k
$867k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hearts of Iron III out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hearts of Iron III's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 144k–1.5M
best case 19.6M (Hearts of Iron IV)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A healthy genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 144k–1.5M copies
≈ $1.6M–$7.6M after Steam's cut
from ~5k reviews
Best case
≈ 14.9M–24.2M copies
Hearts of Iron IV · ≈ $204.8M–$550.6M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Grand Strategy (7 of 8) and World War II (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2020, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Darkest Hour: A Hearts of Iron Game
2011
Est. copies
≈ 109k–176k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$298k–$802k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyGrand Strategy
Unity of Command II
2019
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$517k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $939k–$2.1M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.9M–24.2M
71x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$204.8M–$550.6M after Steam's cut $372.3M–$847.1M before the cut
$49.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Supremacy: Call of War 1942
2017
Est. copies
≈ 218k–354k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFree to Play
Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before the cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Panzer Corps Gold
2014
Est. copies
≈ 142k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Panzer Corps 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 110k–178k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before the cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Victoria II
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.4M–$23.6M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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