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How many copies did Scarecropia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 62 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Scarecropia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scarecropia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–26k
best case 1.1M (Conqueror's Blade)
Games like Scarecropia

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–26k copies

≈ $13k–$37k after Steam's cut

from ~160 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is War (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Conqueror's Blade at ≈ 859k–1.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 815.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share War (3 of 8) and Wargame (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ancient Warfare: The Han Dynasty
2023
Est. copies
≈ 52k–85k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$243k–$654k after Steam's cut $442k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessWar
Conqueror's Blade
2019
Est. copies
≈ 859k–1.4M
187x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalTactical
Prime & Load : 1776
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$21k–$56k after Steam's cut $38k–$86k before Steam's cut
$7.99
382 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionStrategy
No King No Kingdom
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $28k–$65k before Steam's cut
$14.99
153 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAction
Avalon Lords: Dawn Rises
2016
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$9.99
166 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessTactical RPG
Ancient Wars: Medieval Crusades
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$19.99
95 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction
Mounted War
2024
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
13 reviews
Mixed
ActionMedieval
Warlordocracy
2025
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
31 reviews
Positive
Early AccessFantasy

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