How much revenue did Vanguard Princess make?

$219k–$589k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Vanguard Princess sell?

Q: How many copies did Vanguard Princess sell?

160k to 259k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 160k–259k; $219k–$589k after Steam's cut $398k–$906k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vanguard Princess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vanguard Princess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–2.9M

best case 18.7M (Brawlhalla)

Games like Vanguard Princess

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–2.9M copies

≈ $29.8M–$53.5M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brawlhalla at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Fighting + 2D Fighter. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + 2D Platformer + Casual; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
TEKKEN 8 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	73k reviews Mixed	Fighting3D Fighter
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE- 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Fighting2D Fighter
Street Fighter™ 6 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	80k reviews Very Positive	2D FighterFighting
TEKKEN 7 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	FightingAction
Brawlhalla 2017	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	413k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Rivals of Aether 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Fighting2D Fighter
DRAGON BALL FighterZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	77k reviews Very Positive	FightingAnime
Skullgirls 2nd Encore 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	32k reviews Very Positive	Fighting2D Fighter