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How many copies did Ale & Tale Tavern sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 259k–422k
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ale & Tale Tavern and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ale & Tale Tavern's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 790k–3.4M
best case 6.5M (The Sims™ 4)
Games like Ale & Tale Tavern

A typical game among these

≈ 790k–3.4M copies

≈ $11.2M–$20.4M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Sims™ 4 at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 55k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Character Customization.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kingdom: Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
154k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Disney Dreamlight Valley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 617k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingLife Sim
The Witch’s Cookbook
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualSimulation
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game
Football Manager 2023
2022
Est. copies
≈ 491k–798k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationSports
Amazing Cultivation Simulator
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMartial Arts
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.