How much revenue did Shift'n Slay make?

$8k–$22k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shift'n Slay sell?

Q: How many copies did Shift'n Slay sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 99 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut; from 99 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shift'n Slay and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shift'n Slay's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 674k–858k

best case 6.0M (XCOM® 2)

Games like Shift'n Slay

A typical game among these

≈ 674k–858k copies

≈ $6.0M–$13.2M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: XCOM® 2 at ≈ 4.6M–7.4M copies, ≈ $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and Turn-Based (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Isometric + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Isometric + Military + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Battle Brothers 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
XCOM®: Chimera Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 582k–947k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	23k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Tactics
XCOM® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	110k reviews Very Positive	IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Gloomhaven 2021	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022	Est. copies ≈ 609k–990k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	25k reviews Very Positive	SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus 2018	Est. copies ≈ 445k–723k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden 2018	Est. copies ≈ 625k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	21k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
Into the Breach 2018	Est. copies ≈ 682k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	22k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy