How much revenue did Noah's Dilemma make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noah's Dilemma sell?

Q: How many copies did Noah's Dilemma sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 47 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut; from 47 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noah's Dilemma and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noah's Dilemma's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–116k

best case 164k (60 Parsecs!)

Games like Noah's Dilemma

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–116k copies

≈ $347k–$783k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 60 Parsecs! at ≈ 125k–203k copies, ≈ $343k–$923k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 719 reviews in their first month; the range was 165 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Text-Based, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Help Will Come Tomorrow 2020	Est. copies ≈ 23k–38k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$533k before Steam's cut	$19.99	945 reviews Very Positive	SurvivalAdventure
Nordhold 2025	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $462k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $839k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite Tower Defense
60 Parsecs! 2018	Est. copies ≈ 125k–203k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $343k–$923k after Steam's cut $624k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based StrategyText-Based
Banners of Ruin 2021	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $443k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $805k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like
Gladiator Guild Manager 2024	Est. copies ≈ 102k–165k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $418k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $761k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyAuto Battler
Breachway 2024	Est. copies ≈ 38k–61k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $208k–$559k after Steam's cut $378k–$859k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessStrategy
Cardboard Town 2023	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	BuildingCity Builder
懒人修仙传2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $49k–$131k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before Steam's cut	$7.99	896 reviews Mostly Positive	IdlerExploration