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How many copies did Vindefiant sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 47 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vindefiant and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vindefiant's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–2.3M
best case 12.1M (People Playground)
Games like Vindefiant

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–2.3M copies

≈ $51k–$23.1M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: People Playground at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 77 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 49k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Gore (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Gore, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay
Conquer Humanity
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
64 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessPhysics
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
JUSTICE SUCKS: Tactical Vacuum Action
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$149k before Steam's cut
$19.99
265 reviews
Very Positive
FunnySandbox
Exo Mayhem: A Supervillain Experience
2024
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$19.99
11 reviews
Positive
SandboxAction-Adventure

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