How much revenue did Cosmic Mirage make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Cosmic Mirage sell?

Q: How many copies did Cosmic Mirage sell?

496 to 806 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 496–806; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cosmic Mirage and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cosmic Mirage's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 85k–410k

best case 6.5M (Balatro)

Games like Cosmic Mirage

A typical game among these

≈ 85k–410k copies

≈ $270k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-like (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 619 to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (4 of 8) and Arcade (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
not available 2023	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	15k reviews Mostly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 58x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Project Wingman 2020	Est. copies ≈ 556k–904k 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	22k reviews Very Positive	FlightAction
Only Climb: Better Together 2023	Est. copies ≈ 86k–139k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Mixed	Precision Platformer3D Platformer
LUFTRAUSERS 2014	Est. copies ≈ 253k–412k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $696k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	IndieBullet Hell
Drop Duchy 2025	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleStrategy
Sky Rogue 2017	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $233k–$627k after Steam's cut $424k–$965k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	FlightIndie
Maniac 2024	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $64k–$172k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerSimulation