How much revenue did Murky Divers make?

$327k–$880k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Murky Divers sell?

Q: How many copies did Murky Divers sell?

132k to 215k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 132k–215k; $327k–$880k after Steam's cut $595k–$1.4M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Murky Divers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Murky Divers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15.4M–28.3M

best case 34.9M (Apex Legends™)

Games like Murky Divers

A typical game among these

≈ 15.4M–28.3M copies

≈ $91.7M–$172.0M after Steam's cut

from ~455k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Apex Legends™ at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 76k reviews in their first month; the range was 40k to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Free to Play + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut	$13.99	396k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op