How much revenue did Murky Divers make?

$0 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Murky Divers sell?

Q: How many copies did Murky Divers sell?

0 copies, based on its 0 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Too new to estimate: Games in its genre land ≈ 15.4M–28.2M That is what its genre does, not a prediction for this game.; No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.

Does this actually work?

We left Murky Divers out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Murky Divers's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15.4M–28.2M

best case 34.8M (Apex Legends™)

Games like Murky Divers

The middle of these games

≈ 15.4M–28.2M copies

≈ $90.9M–$171.7M after Steam's cut

from ~454k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Apex Legends™ at ≈ 26.5M–43.0M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 76k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 40k to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Free to Play + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Apex Legends™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26.5M–43.0M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.1M reviews Mixed	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 30.9M–50.1M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.3M–$113.8M after Steam's cut $77.0M–$175.1M before the cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut	$59.99	439k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Bloons TD 6 2018	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut	$13.99	395k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 35.9M–58.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.3M–$132.5M after Steam's cut $89.6M–$203.8M before the cut	$4.99	641k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.7M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.1M–$250.3M after Steam's cut $169.3M–$385.1M before the cut	$14.99	543k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Deep Rock Galactic 2020	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $77.7M–$208.8M after Steam's cut $141.2M–$321.2M before the cut	$29.99	380k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DwarfCo-op